There are still months to go until the next provincial election, but early polls are already showed Patrick Brown and the Conservatives in a strong position to defeat Kathleen Wynne and the Liberals in 2018.
It's hard to place any deep-seated faith in polls conducted so early, but there's no denying that there has been a noticeable shift in public approval of the Liberals as of late. Ontarians have been riding the red wave for 14 years now, and after a slew of controversial policies put forth by the Liberals (seemingly one after the other), people across the province might just be ready for a change.
According to CBC, the PCs have garnered as much as 40 per cent support in six surveys conducted at the beginning of September, while the Liberals only managed to average 30 per cent support in the same surveys. The NDP, under the leadership of Andrea Horwath, came in at 23 per cent.
The 10-point lead the PCs are currently holding is the largest they've had since 2013, but such lead only reflects pre-campaign numbers. Just a few days ago, the PC's released their campaign promises, and it's been a mixed bag so far. They're dubbing the platform the "People's Guarantee" - one that is set on introducing 1) income tax cuts of 22.5 per cent for the middle-class, 2) 12 per cent cuts for hydro, 3) a $5 billion plan to open new subways in Toronto, and 4) $12 billion in savings over three years, among other things.
People are skeptical. Some think the platform sounds too good to be true. The Liberals in particular have attacked the fourth aforementioned promise. Jessica Martin, the spokeswoman for Liberal Finance Minister Charles Sousa, even went as far as to say that "Patrick Brown will say anything to anyone in order to get elected."
So, despite what the polls say, it might still be too early to tell what will actually happen. Campaigns are now being thrown into the mix, so those numbers could easily change. It should also be noted that the Liberals have a history of coming back from a rut, usually gaining the boost in support they need within weeks of an election. If history follows the same trend, the PCs' lead may only narrow in the months to come.