Ontario's Fourth Wave of COVID-19 Is Going To Be 'Substantial' According To Experts

Daily cases could reach 9,000 by October in a worst-case scenario.

Staff Writer

New modelling is shedding some light on the impact of Ontario's fourth wave of COVID-19, and according to experts, it could be "substantial."

In the modelling released on September 1 by Ontario's COVID-19 Science Advisory Table, experts confirmed the province is indeed in a fourth wave and that daily case counts could creep up to 9,000 by October.

"If we cannot reduce transmission, and accelerate vaccination, ICU occupancy could exceed Wave 3 by October," read the update. Experts also said that "ICU capacity could be exceeded."

The new modelling comes on the same day that Doug Ford announced that vaccine passports will be implemented in Ontario.

"Among the unvaccinated, we do expect to see a rapid increase in the number of seriously ill people needing hospital care as workplaces and education re-open in September," read the modelling.

  • Emily Silva was a Vancouver-based Associate Editor at Narcity Canada. She worked on the Trending Desk covering everything from what's trending across the country to what's happening near you. Originally from Cambridge, Ontario, Emily recently switched things up by making a move to the West coast. For the past four years Emily worked as an assignment reporter and writer at CTV News Kitchener. She also held previous roles at MuchMusic and Rogers TV. Emily graduated with a Bachelor of Journalism from Ryerson University with a minor in Sociology.
  • Senior Writer

    Sarah Rohoman (she/her) was a Senior Writer with Narcity Media. She has worked at BuzzFeed Canada, Yahoo Canada, and CBC Radio in news, lifestyle, ecommerce, and social media. She has an MA in Journalism from Western University and a BA from McGill. She loves libraries, alpacas, and all things witchy.

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