Daily cases could reach 9,000 by October in a worst-case scenario.
New modelling is shedding some light on the impact of Ontario's fourth wave of COVID-19, and according to experts, it could be "substantial."
In the modelling released on September 1 by Ontario's COVID-19 Science Advisory Table, experts confirmed the province is indeed in a fourth wave and that daily case counts could creep up to 9,000 by October.
"If we cannot reduce transmission, and accelerate vaccination, ICU occupancy could exceed Wave 3 by October," read the update. Experts also said that "ICU capacity could be exceeded."
1/4 New modelling. We need to accelerate vaccine a lot. We\u2019re plateauing at about 76% of eligible Ontarians, but we now need to get above 85% of eligible Ontarians -- and even there, vacc isn\u2019t enough vs Delta. https://covid19-sciencetable.ca/sciencebrief/update-on-covid-19-projections-10/\u00a0\u2026 #COVID19ON— COVIDScienceOntario (@COVIDScienceOntario) 1630531621
"Among the unvaccinated, we do expect to see a rapid increase in the number of seriously ill people needing hospital care as workplaces and education re-open in September," read the modelling.