When it comes to COVID-19 daily cases in Canada, we could reach 12,000 in January even if we don't increase how many people we see.
The Public Health Agency of Canada released new data and modelling on December 11 about the situation across the country.
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Courtesy of Public Health Agency Of Canada
If we maintain the current number of people we come into contact with every day, COVID-19 will still continue to surge and reach 12,000 daily cases but that isn't even the worst-case scenario.
If we make the wrong changes and increase how many people we come into contact with, the resurgence of cases will happen faster and stronger.
That could lead to 30,000 daily cases in January.
There's still a chance to flatten the curve once again though.
If we reduce our contacts to only essential ones through individual precautions and public health measures, it's forecasted that case counts will come under control in most parts of the country.
In that best-case scenario, Canada would see less than 5,000 daily cases in January.
Dr. Theresa Tam said that the forecast for early January is lower than two weeks ago because of signs that COVID-19 is coming under control in B.C. and Manitoba.
The new data and modelling also showed that one province has seen extreme "rapid growth" that is worse than any other region.