Dr. Tam Says Canada's Daily COVID-19 Case Projection For January Has Gone Down Again

The number is still significant according to the country's top doc.
Senior Writer

When it comes to COVID-19 daily cases, Canada's latest projection for January has actually gone down once again but there's still cause for concern.

Dr. Theresa Tam put out a statement on December 19 about the state of the pandemic and she included a modelling update.

Editor's Choice: Canada's Boxing Day Isn't A Stat Holiday For Everyone In Every Province & Territory

These numbers are still significant and put us on a trajectory for a strong resurgence for the next two months. Dr. Theresa Tam

The country's top doctor said that the most recent long-range forecast, which uses a model from Simon Fraser University, is predicting that there could be more than 8,000 daily cases by the beginning of January.

At the last data and modelling update on December 11, that number was 12,000 even if we didn't start seeing more people.

So, in just over a week, the projection has dropped by 4,000.

Dr. Tam said that while the new figure is lower than before, it's "still significant" as it puts the country "on a trajectory for a strong resurgence for the next two months."

She also noted that this emphasizes the importance of both public health and individual people when it comes to bringing the infection rate down.

As vaccine doses are being delivered and administered to priority populations, Justin Trudeau said that "we're not out of the woods yet."

  • Senior Writer

    Lisa Belmonte (she/her) is a Senior Writer with Narcity Media. After graduating with a Bachelor of Journalism from Toronto Metropolitan University (formerly Ryerson University), she joined the Narcity team. Lisa covers news and notices from across the country from a Canada-wide perspective. Her early coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic earned Narcity its first-ever national journalism award nomination.

I moved to Canada from Ukraine 4 years ago — These 7 things still completely surprise me

I've made Canada my home, but there are some Canadian habits I may never understand! 🫣

Turkey gravy sold in Canada is being urgently recalled on Thanksgiving weekend

Officials say it could cause a "serious or life-threatening reaction."