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Summary

Toronto's winter weather forecast was revealed and heavy snow is coming sooner than expected

Winter is just around the corner. 👀❄️☃️

Snowfall in Downtown Toronto.

Toronto's winter weather forecast has been revealed.

Paul Savaria | Dreamstime
Writer

Toronto's winter forecast has been released, revealing when the city can expect snowfall.

Toronto's weather during winter often sees a mix of snow, slush, and freezing temperatures. According to the Farmer's Almanac 2025–2026 winter forecast, the eastern end of Southern Ontario, which includes Toronto, may see a slightly milder season in terms of snowfall.

The long-range outlook predicts below-normal snowfall for the region, suggesting that Toronto may not experience as many significant snowstorms as it did in previous years.

However, the city isn't expected to be snow-free, and The Almanac predicts that Toronto will experience snowfall earlier than it did last year. The 6ix experienced its first accumulation in the first week of December 2024. However, 2025 will buck that trend with the first flurry of snow forecasted to land in late November.*

In addition to snowfall, temperatures are expected to be colder than usual. The coldest periods are forecast for mid-to-late December, early and late January, and early February. These stretches will bring typical winter conditions, including frosty mornings and chilly evenings.

Although the overall snowfall may be below average, more minor snowfalls and flurries throughout the season can still impact daily life. Roads may become slippery, and the cold weather could affect outdoor activities.

The forecast suggests that winter in Toronto will remain firmly in the "cold season" category, even if the snow totals are somewhat lighter than in other years.

The forecast also notes the possibility of the polar vortex shifting southward. If certain conditions align, Arctic air could be displaced deep into Canada, bringing periods of extreme cold and increased snowfall. While these events may be short-lived, they could temporarily intensify winter conditions in Toronto and Southern Ontario.

For Torontonians, this forecast means that winter preparedness remains essential. Warm coats, boots, and supplies for ice and snow will still be necessary. Although it may be a "lighter" winter on paper, Toronto can still expect typical seasonal challenges, including occasional snow accumulation and freezing temperatures.

Overall, the 2025-2026 winter forecast indicates a colder-than-average season with below-normal snowfall, providing some relief from the frequent heavy snowfalls experienced in previous years, while still maintaining the characteristic chill of Toronto winters.

*The article has been updated.

AI tools may have been used to support the creation or distribution of this content; however, it has been carefully edited and fact-checked by a member of Narcity's Editorial team. For more information on our use of AI, please visit our Editorial Standards page.

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    • Originally from Ireland, Tomás Keating was a Toronto-based Writer for Narcity. After graduating with a Masters in Journalism from the University of Galway in 2019, Tomás utilized his passion for news, current affairs, pop culture and sports as a digital journalist before relocating to Toronto in 2024. In his spare time, Tomás loves exploring the city, going to the cinema and playing Gaelic football with his local GAA club in Toronto.

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