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The Month-By-Month Fall Forecast For Each Province Is Out & Nobody Will Escape Snow

The month-by-month fall forecast for 2021 in Canada is out and it seems like the season will have a little bit of everything in it, from warmth to rain to cold to snow.

Here's what the Farmers' Almanac is expecting to happen this fall in each province for September, October, November and, yes, even December.


For the most part, there will be warm and humid conditions in September with pockets of unsettled weather.

In B.C., most of the month will have clear skies, sun and fair weather. Then towards the end of the month, strong winds and unsettled weather will make their way into the province and temperatures will get cooler.

The Prairies will flip flop between pleasant conditions and storms for most of September. The middle of the month is forecasted to have "violent squalls" across the region before it ends with fair weather.

Ontario will also have a month of back-and-forth weather with dangerous storms and sunny stretches but September will end fair, dry and with pleasant temperatures.

Moving east to Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and P.E.I., the month will be very stormy with dangerous thunderstorms, downpours and possibly damaging winds for some parts. However, September is expected to end on a fair note.

In Newfoundland, most of the month will be warm and pleasant with brief periods of thunderstorms and showers.


Moving on from September, the forecast calls for an unusually turbulent October, with quite a few days that are cloudy, windy and showery.

It will start to get chillier in B.C. during October. There will be patches of gusty winds and unsettled conditions but also clear skies.

The month will start off stormy in the Prairies and then go back and forth between that and fair weather. Towards the end of the month, it'll get colder over the Rocky Mountains.

In Ontario, the month will start off stormy, get better for a brief period but then will get consistently more cloudy and unsettled until the end of October, when storms could bring wet snow to the Great Lakes region.

In Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and P.E.I., it will be a pretty stormy month with unseasonably chilly temperatures. It will end with a storm that could cause widespread flooding and even bring wet snow to parts of Quebec.

Over in Newfoundland, it will also be unseasonably cold but with lots of showers instead of snow.


In Canada, November is forecasted to be an extension of October's unsettled weather pattern but it'll be even colder.

The first snow in B.C. will be possible by Remembrance Day and then the weather will take turns being unsettled and clear before the month ends "much chillier."

For the Prairies, it will be cold, unsettled and blustery, with snow possible on Remembrance Day. At the end of November, the temperatures will become much colder and squalls will move over the Rockies and through the region.

Ontario will be unseasonably cold and the middle of the month will bring rain and snow showers. That pattern will be repeated at the end of November as well.

Just like the other provinces, it will also be cold in Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and P.E.I. There will be a major storm in the middle of the month, with squally conditions and then snow possible for Quebec. More wet snow will come later in the month and it will get progressively colder.

Newfoundland will also get its first flakes of snow in November with multiple opportunities for flurries and wet snow as the month will be pretty unsettled and cold.


It might not feel like it all the time but December is still technically fall. At least, until December 21, when the winter season officially arrives.

Until that point, B.C. will see widespread rain and snow along with strong winds and cold temperatures.

The Prairies will have moments of pleasant weather in December but there will be many blasts of snow possible throughout the month. Right before the first day of winter, the region will be plunged into frigid arctic conditions, with temperatures reaching -50 C.

Ontario's last days of fall will bring cold winds and snow to the southern part of the province.

In Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and P.E.I., a storm from the mid-Atlantic coast will bring widespread snowfall at the beginning of December. Then there could be a few showers and flurries as conditions stay unsettled up to the first day of winter.

For Newfoundland, it will get increasingly colder as the month progresses with big storms bringing heavy rain and snow before fall ends.

It's never too early to start preparing for winter in Canada and the season could be colder than expected because of a weather phenomenon called La Niña.

The World Meteorological Organization has forecasted that there's a 40% chance La Niña might emerge between September and November and then re-emerge from November to January. This phenomenon is the large-scale cooling of the sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean, which can affect weather around the world.

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